{"id":20624,"date":"2024-07-17T12:49:09","date_gmt":"2024-07-17T10:49:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shaf-back.imholding.co.uk\/?p=20624"},"modified":"2024-08-19T10:53:43","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T08:53:43","slug":"the-conflict-path-series-in-the-middle-east-and-africa-issue-no-33-june-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shaf-back.imholding.co.uk\/en\/the-conflict-path-series-in-the-middle-east-and-africa-issue-no-33-june-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"THE CONFLICT PATH SERIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA ISSUE NO 33 June 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"

Introduction:<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Conflicts in the Middle East and Africa are a reflection of the complexity of protracted conflicts; The way in which they interact, their longevity, the behaviour and demands of the perpetrators, the parties\u2019 terms of settlement, the dynamism of which they are characterized, and the intensity of their competition reflect their complexity.<\/h4>\n

This complexity increases as these conflicts interact with global changes s interests become more overlapping and complex, and the challenges surrounding political settlements increase in order to increase the importance of careful follow-up and analysis of such interactions as to enable us to set the record straight for choosing the most appropriate policies and preparing for the scenarios presented, In this number, together with tracking regional conflicts, we are approaching their internal interlinkages and international and regional interaction.<\/h4>\n

The 33third \u00a0<\/sup>\u00a0issue of the Shaf Centre\u2019s monthly Conflict Trail Report highlights the Middle East and Africa arena of conflict States, tracking important issues, highlights and local, regional and international interactions. The report covers the conflict situation in 10 States (Ethiopia, Somalia, Iraq, Yemen, South Sudan, Syria, Yemen, Libya, Lebanon and Mali)<\/h4>\n

\u00a0Executive Summary<\/strong><\/h2>\n

Before we shed light on the developments in the conflict situation in the areas under discussion, we present the situations in general Conflicts in the ten countries of interest before moving on to the detailed report.<\/h4>\n

Ethiopia:<\/strong> <\/span>The Ethiopian government continues to follow the method of procrastination, evasion, and violating the sovereignty of other countries. where The silent Somaliland agreement that it concluded; And attempts to provoke the Somali side: not to mention Continue the Renaissance Dam project until it reaches the fifth stage of filling, which is supposed to be the last.<\/h4>\n

About Egypt: The Egyptian leadership always affirms that it will not allow any attempts to tamper with the security and stability of its people.<\/h4>\n

Sudan:<\/strong><\/span> Sudan has been witnessing a state of displacement and collapse since April 15, 2023 AD; Then the situation turns bad to the worst, many Sudanese citizens are suffering from hunger and thirst, in addition to being stranded between…<\/h4>\n

Displaced person, refugee and homeless person, and the Sudanese lived through horrific horrors from indiscriminate artillery and air bombardment that destroyed the infrastructure. In large parts of the country in light of the complete collapse of health services and public facilities; Recently, a massacre occurred in Wad Al Noura village in Al Jazeera state; More than a hundred Sudanese were martyred.\u201d The Sovereignty Council accused the support forces in a statement He was quick to commit it, but this was not the first to be done in Sudan. Rather, this African country has witnessed many… Massacres since the outbreak of war; The crisis and its repercussions may continue beyond that. You are likely to testify The Sudanese state has committed more massacres, affecting the humanitarian situation.<\/h4>\n

Somalia:<\/strong> <\/span>Somalia is doing its best; To achieve security and stability, which was evident in the insistence of the forces Somali and African Union forces in their war against Al-Shabaab movement. The Somali government is covering Priority to key national objectives; Including the constitutional review and counterterrorism process; That’s for sure \u201cThe international community is committed to supporting Somalia in achieving security and development.\u201d But it is necessary to find a solution: To firefly between Somalia and Ethiopia in accordance with the principles of sovereignty and integrity 1<\/h4>\n

Iraq:<\/strong><\/span> It seems that Iraq is on the cusp of a new phase dominated by stability!! To some extent though There are huge challenges; Most notably: the threat of terrorist armed groups, the problems of climate change, and fragility The pain. However, the Iraqi effort is striving to overcome and reduce these obstacles, as well as its attempt Continued contribution to economic development; Through bilateral, regional and international cooperation; And providing basic services For citizens,\u201d especially in light of the electricity and water crisis and the extreme temperatures that the people are suffering from On the security side; The Iraqi intelligence network may play an important role in eliminating Den Armed groups:; \u201cIn an important step to cleanse the country of ISIS\u201d and in conjunction with the end of the coalition\u2019s tasks<\/h4>\n

international; Which achieves more security and stability.<\/h4>\n

Yemen:<\/strong><\/span> With the resumption of Houthi attacks on ships in the Red Sea since the beginning of June; After relative calm Continued during the recent period: Current developments confirm that the Houthi group is heading towards a widespread escalation during \u201cThe coming period,\u201d especially with the circulation of American intelligence information; There are discussions between the Houthis in Yemen;<\/h4>\n

to provide weapons to the Somali armed movement Al-Shabaab,\u201d which tends to be a dangerous and destabilizing development. In an area already witnessing violence; In addition, the Houthis continue their continuous bombing of targets in the Red Sea.\u201d He threatened to expand their attacks to the Mediterranean Sea. Motivated to support the Gaza Strip,\u201d which would inflame<\/h4>\n

Fears that the war between Israel and Hamas will lead to a deeper regional conflict<\/h4>\n

South Sudan<\/strong><\/span>: South Sudan is still facing many challenges on the political, economic, and security fronts, especially in light of the escalating tensions against the backdrop of the raging Sudanese war and the massive destruction and catastrophic repercussions it caused that have left their mark on the economy of the state of South Sudan and its security stability. Therefore, it is expected that these economic crises will affect The lack of security and political instability affects the upcoming electoral process at the end of the year, which requires the need to overcome these conditions in order to ensure the achievement of fair elections through which a peaceful transfer of power can occur and the country returns to economic recovery and political stability in light of the presence of a government that assumes power legitimately after reliable elections. .<\/h4>\n

Syria<\/span>:<\/strong><\/span> It appears, from tracking developments in the situation in Syria, that the issue has not stagnated even after Syria returned to the Arab League. The scene confirms that the crisis will continue in the short term, and perhaps even the medium term, given the continuing state of internal fighting between separate fronts whose interests differ from Each other, in addition to the continued external interference in the country\u2019s affairs, whether by Iran, Russia, Turkey, or the United States. There is no doubt that the continuation of this situation will lead to a further deterioration of the economic and humanitarian conditions, the consequences of which will be borne only by the Syrian people.<\/h4>\n

Libya:<\/strong><\/span> There is no doubt that the political process will change after the resignation of the UN envoy to Libya, Abdullah Batelli, and the receipt of the American, Stephanie Khoury, who will be the acting head of the mission, but no one is aware whether the change will be positive or negative, especially since Libya is living An unprecedented political stagnation, and this situation is a fertile environment for the growth of any military escalation to impose rules of the game on the ground and the formation of new alliances. Perhaps the scene is headed for many events unless there is an urgent, effective and rapid political initiative that suggests resorting to alternative options, in the event that the bodies are not involved. The ruling political system is in a comprehensive political dialogue, and if this does not happen, there is a greater threat than ever of the outbreak of military operations, specifically in the capital, Tripoli.<\/h4>\n

Lebanon<\/strong><\/span>: The French initiative, entitled \u201cRepositioning Hezbollah,\u201d which includes easing border tensions between Hezbollah and Israel, will have the same fate as its predecessor, which was put forward in January. Hezbollah will not hold any discussions, except by declaring a ceasefire in Gaza. Likewise, as for European aid to Lebanon, it is nothing but a pressure card on Lebanon. To freeze the Syrian refugee file.<\/h4>\n

Mali<\/strong><\/span>: The security situation in the country is becoming more deteriorating with the increase in violence, and the jihadists renewing their war by kidnapping civilian hostages to re-impose influence, in addition to the increasing severity of security incidents between the Malian army and Mauritanian citizens, which has caused a diplomatic crisis between the two countries, in conjunction with the worsening humanitarian situation, and the presence of… A deep political crisis represented by the failure of the transitional authorities to fulfill their obligations to hand over power to civilians on March 26, and to instead announce that they will not give way to civilian rule before the country is finally stabilized, with the recent suspension of the activities of political parties and associations, in a move that may cast more ambiguity on the situation. The future of democracy in the country.<\/h4>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Introduction: Conflicts in the Middle East and Africa are a reflection of the complexity of protracted conflicts; The way in which they interact, their longevity, the behaviour and demands of the perpetrators, the parties\u2019 terms of settlement, the dynamism of which they are characterized, and the intensity of their competition reflect their complexity. This complexity […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":10,"featured_media":20633,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pmpro_default_level":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[103,96],"tags":[523,287,290,295,294,296,289,292,288,293,524,291],"class_list":["post-20624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-conflict-paths-series-in-the-middle-east-and-africa","category-special-editions","tag-africa","tag-ethiopia","tag-iraq","tag-lebanon","tag-libya","tag-mali","tag-somalia","tag-south-sudan","tag-sudan","tag-syria","tag-the-middle-east","tag-yemen","pmpro-has-access"],"yoast_head":"\nTHE CONFLICT PATH SERIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA ISSUE NO 33 June 2024 - \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/shaf-back.imholding.co.uk\/en\/the-conflict-path-series-in-the-middle-east-and-africa-issue-no-33-june-2024\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"THE CONFLICT PATH SERIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST AND AFRICA ISSUE NO 33 June 2024 - \u0645\u0631\u0643\u0632 \u0634\u0627\u0641 \u0644\u062a\u062d\u0644\u064a\u0644 \u0627\u0644\u0623\u0632\u0645\u0627\u062a \u0648\u0627\u0644\u062f\u0631\u0627\u0633\u0627\u062a \u0627\u0644\u0645\u0633\u062a\u0642\u0628\u0644\u064a\u0629\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Introduction: Conflicts in the Middle East and Africa are a reflection of the complexity of protracted conflicts; The way in which they interact, their longevity, the behaviour and demands of the perpetrators, the parties\u2019 terms of settlement, the dynamism of which they are characterized, and the intensity of their competition reflect their complexity. 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the dynamism of which they are characterized, and the intensity of their competition reflect their complexity. 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